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macroResolves Aug 7, 2026

Will the Fed cut rates at its next FOMC meeting?

Chance
62%
24h Volume
$63.9K
Liquidity
$121.6K
Open interest
$234.5K
Traders
163
Implied probability · YES
62% 4 pts
Order book · YESspread 5¢ · mid 62¢
PriceSizeTotal
72¢987189,783
71¢635188,796
70¢41,053188,182
69¢458148,570
68¢837148,115
67¢50,405147,252
66¢19,38494,836
65¢25,55375,233
64¢52,32650,334
Mid 62¢481 bps
60¢1,6391,581
59¢3,5284,995
58¢2,5767,572
57¢2,0449,688
56¢2,17011,940
55¢1,88713,837
54¢1,09614,901
53¢29815,188
52¢25615,441
Recent trades live
NOCHADFI2270
$5,679 @ 38¢1s ago
YESoWfn…bARF
$128 @ 62¢2s ago
YESAsVM…n8Vt
$5,140 @ 62¢4s ago
NOgm_maxi
$223 @ 38¢1h ago
NOchadfi
$5,590 @ 38¢1h ago
YESkN2Z…aSux
$143 @ 62¢2h ago
NOuVBf…reoS
$1,311 @ 38¢2h ago
NOJBWT…AMhb
$16,051 @ 38¢3h ago
NOFRANDY
$411 @ 38¢3h ago
NOmFW2…iiGg
$345 @ 38¢3h ago
YESpBQt…Z5AH
$1,084 @ 62¢4h ago
YESchadmaxi
$78 @ 62¢4h ago

Resolution

Settled in USDC via an optimistic oracle. A proposed outcome can be challenged for 2 hours with a $750 bond; disputes escalate to an on-chain vote (4896h). Winning shares redeem for $1.00, losing shares for $0.00.

USDC
Shares403.2
Avg price62¢
Taker fee (0.57%)$1.41
Payout if YES$403.23
Max loss−$250.00

Connect a wallet to place an order. Non-custodial · not financial advice.